Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.211231 1.443895 1.688781 1.963985 2.262977 2.576457 2.928473
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.867305 1.183062 1.538649 1.961198 2.442752 2.968417 3.579843
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.650609 0.993411 1.400778 1.905044 2.498838 3.164155 3.955011
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.484019 0.835469 1.277053 1.845654 2.535516 3.326334 4.283817
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.370822 0.723593 1.190990 1.814266 2.589814 3.495558 4.608277
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.303841 0.663079 1.161540 1.845562 2.713752 3.742183 5.019423
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.243126 0.600395 1.120859 1.855742 2.806425 3.947633 5.379154
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.182428 0.525302 1.054234 1.824995 2.842511 4.080902 5.650215
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.166045 0.522222 1.089176 1.928999 3.049094 4.421670 6.169693
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152445 0.521499 1.126161 2.035012 3.258060 4.765650 6.693805
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.143038 0.526926 1.171587 2.152353 3.481831 5.128425 7.241552
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.136134 0.535979 1.222051 2.276622 3.714931 5.503383 7.805054
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.111312 0.505776 1.213430 2.323759 3.856385 5.776789 8.261733
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.083259 0.460460 1.176903 2.329434 3.943034 5.983024 8.639252
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052207 0.393297 1.095991 2.264411 3.930233 6.059968 8.854610
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029533 0.333230 1.019284 2.199942 3.914058 6.129682 9.058819
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015998 0.289377 0.965269 2.164873 3.934046 6.242155 9.312671
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010119 0.270797 0.957038 2.199593 4.050311 6.478740 9.721733
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005073 0.246852 0.935102 2.210787 4.132430 6.670349 10.074142
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001218 0.212672 0.887035 2.176837 4.148529 6.774323 10.315236
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000982 0.219927 0.929280 2.291638 4.378214 7.159968 10.913806
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000798 0.227569 0.972524 2.408407 4.611214 7.550629 11.519597
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000752 0.238260 1.022868 2.537367 4.862309 7.965843 12.157417